Dynex Looks Like a Mortgage REIT That’s Built to Last

August 10, 2009

Dynex Capital Inc. is a rather small US-based Mortgage REIT that invests in securitized residential and commercial mortgage loans and non-agency MBS. Management has a significant stake in the common stock, so it shouldn’t be surprising that the company made almost no new investments in 2006 and 2007. As of June 30, 2009, Dynex Capital […]

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Hotel REITs Default and Deflate – Can Shareholders Benefit?

July 27, 2009

It’s almost factual at this point: most 2006 and 2007 buyers of hotel properties will likely default on their mortgages. The reasons are simple: pro forma room rate and occupancy assumptions are being crushed, existing mortgage debt cannot be serviced, and the resulting drop in property values is preventing any kind of loan workout (other […]

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Mortgage REIT IPOs: There is Vibrant Life After Death in CRE Debt

July 23, 2009

In just the past two months, 8 Mortgage REITs have filed to raise $3.9 billion in fresh cash, which should not be all that surprising. Retail financial advisors are saying that buckets of high net worth cash are sitting on the sidelines, waiting for opportunities in distressed commercial real estate. With several REIT follow on […]

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Billions, Literally, Chasing Distressed Commercial Real Estate

July 15, 2009

Even with all the capital now chasing distressed commercial real estate, it’s still not clear whether these bargains are really much of a bargain. 250 Montgomery St., a downtown San Francisco office building that traded via a distressed note sale is the latest example of the uncertainty. The building, located on San Francisco’s “Wall Street […]

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Mauldin Says Deflation Is Coming: Why He Is Wrong, Stuck "Inside the Box" & Hopelessly Conflicted

July 9, 2009

While John Mauldin may read “hundreds of articles, reports, books and newsletters” in order to bring you the one essay each week that will “stimulate your thinking”, he will also roll for commissions, and that’s pretty much all you need to know about his weekly email. More on that later, but first, what about his […]

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JP Morgan Likes Brandywine (BDN) and Entertainment Properties Trust (EPT)

July 8, 2009

JP Morgan analyst Anthony Paolone is understandably not bullish on commercial real estate fundamentals, but since the public market is typically ahead of the private market in terms of valuations, he does like certain REITs. Brandwine in particular has both refinanced existing debt, and repurchased its own debt on the open market (for a quick […]

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Real Estate as an Inflation Hedge? Don’t Bet On It

July 7, 2009

One major reason for investing in commercial real estate and REITs is that real estate is thought of as an effective hedge against inflation, yet commercial properties were an abyssmal inflation hedge in the early 1990s. So why are they still considered to be an inflation hedge if that isn’t always the case? As usual, […]

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Agency Mortgage REIT Dividends Get Better & Better

June 25, 2009

Shamefully, I haven’t done much with Agency Mortgage REITs here, but the times they are a changing. Agency REITs are killing it on net interest spreads, and that is causing higher net incomes and increased dividends. What else could an investor want, next to a portfolio of government-guaranteed mortgage debt? Not surpringly, many investors screech […]

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20 Recession Proof Real Estate Markets

June 24, 2009

Like politics, all commercial real estate is local. The Brookings Institute has just published a study on the 100 largest MSA’s in the country, and it concludes that there actually are green shoots in commercial real estate, and many of them are to be found in over-looked, secondary markets in the middle of the country. […]

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9 REITs That Had to be Destroyed in Order to be Saved

June 20, 2009

In 1968 at the height, so to speak, of the Vietnam War, U.S. Air Force Major Chet Brown was fresh out of ideas and common sense. Tired, frustrated and on the wrong end of a microphone after a battle for the provincial capital of Ben Tre, he famously allowed that it had become necessary to […]

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